If you look at the e-commerce growth forecast for the next 10 years, it's pretty strong. It's pretty robust and it's growing much faster than the US economy.
There's an argument to be made that at some point the multi-family industry has to return to the norm because population growth in the US is slowing.
Multi-family is a factor of population growth in the end. If your population drops, you need less units.
But e-commerce is different. E-commerce can grow at 2x, 3x, or even 5x the US economy for the next 10 years and it still wouldn't get to 50 percent of all retail. Right now, it's at 15%. From a math perspective, from a logic perspective, e-commerce could enjoy a significant ramp. Whereas with multi-family, it's going to go up but there might be some plateaus and there might also be some drops in there, simply because most people have not absorbed the fact that the U.S. population growth in the last three years has slowed to an absolute trickle.
Key points:
- U.S.A. populations growth
- E-commerce new market
- E-commerce exponential growth
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MARK AINLEY is an investor, managing broker, and property manager with nearly two decades of experience in real estate. He has been a speaker at numerous events across the country including investing summits in Dallas, Atlanta, San Francisco, and Chicago. Mark loves to give feedback to beginners, out-of-state investors, or less experienced entrepreneurs on what steps to avoid in growing a business.
His extensive experience allows him to share his knowledge on many topics like property management, scaling a business, rehabbing and flipping, out-of-state investing, asset stabilization, market analysis, and more. He has rehabbed and stabilized over 480 properties and currently manages over 1000 investment properties throughout the Chicagoland area. Mark is the co-founder of GCR&D, a full-service real estate brokerage, property management, and real estate investment firm in the Chicago Market. Through his brokerage, he consults with both local and out of-state investors on the acquisition, stabilization, and management of their rental property portfolio. GCR&D recently made the “top 5000 fastest growing companies in the United States”list by influential Inc.
He was featured on CNBC’s TV show The Deed, featuring one of his rehabs. He has also been featured on podcasts like Bigger Pockets, The Real Estate Mogul Podcast, Joe Fairless, REI Diamonds, and Real Estate Money School. In 2017 he was featured on the cover of Top Agent - Property Management Edition.
https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/contributors/markainley
